Pumas UNAM W vs Atlas W prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Pumas UNAM W host Atlas W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Pumas UNAM W 1–0 Atlas W.

Going into the match, Pumas UNAM W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Atlas W had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Pumas UNAM W's last 10 and 6 of Atlas W's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pumas UNAM W averaged 2.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Atlas W averaged 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Pumas UNAM W and 0.96 from Atlas W. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 20%, against 65%, 20% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Pumas UNAM W (green) and Atlas W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%

Attack55% – 45%

Defence60% – 40%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals52% – 48%

Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Pumas UNAM W	LDWLL	1.80	1.70	60%	70%
Atlas W	WDWLL	1.10	1.90	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
Pumas UNAM W Win	68%	1.36
Over 2.5 Goals	66%	1.44
BTTS Yes	57%	1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Under 3.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Over 3.5 Goals	46%	2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.