Home › League stats › Liga MX Femenil › Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W
Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Monterrey W host Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Monterrey W 1–0 Cruz Azul W.
Going into the match, Monterrey W had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 39 and conceding 13. Cruz Azul W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Monterrey W's last 10 and 3 of Cruz Azul W's last 10; 10 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monterrey W averaged 3.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Cruz Azul W averaged 0.67 scored and 2.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.27 goals from Monterrey W and 0.79 from Cruz Azul W. From that it rates a home win at 84%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 5%, against 73%, 17% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Monterrey W (green) and Cruz Azul W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey W | WWWWW | 3.90 | 1.30 | 80% | 100% |
| Cruz Azul W | WLLWW | 1.30 | 2.10 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Monterrey W 4–0 Cruz Azul W
- 30 Apr 2026 · Cruz Azul W 1–1 Monterrey W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Monterrey W Win | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Monterrey W 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Monterrey W HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX Femenil matches that day
- Pumas UNAM W vs Atlas W · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga MX Femenil
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0