Puebla U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 prediction and preview

30 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.28Market probability 72%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Puebla U21 host UNAM Pumas U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 30 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Puebla U21 1–1 UNAM Pumas U21.

Going into the match, Puebla U21 had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. UNAM Pumas U21 had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Puebla U21's last 10 and 6 of UNAM Pumas U21's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puebla U21 averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home UNAM Pumas U21 averaged 0.90 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Puebla U21 and 0.68 from UNAM Pumas U21. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 25%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Puebla U21 (green) and UNAM Pumas U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence45% – 55%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Puebla U21	WDLDD	1.10	0.80	60%	30%
UNAM Pumas U21	WDWWD	1.10	0.80	60%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals	57%	1.57
BTTS No	51%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	43%	2.35
Puebla U21 Win	39%	2.38
1-0	13%	7.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.