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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Juarez U21 vs Queretaro U21 prediction and preview
30 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juarez U21 host Queretaro U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 30 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Juarez U21 3–1 Queretaro U21.
Going into the match, Juarez U21 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Queretaro U21 had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Juarez U21's last 10 and 6 of Queretaro U21's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juarez U21 averaged 0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Queretaro U21 averaged 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Juarez U21 and 1.05 from Queretaro U21. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juarez U21 (green) and Queretaro U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juarez U21 | WLWWL | 1.00 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
| Queretaro U21 | WLLLW | 1.60 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Juarez U21 Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.79 |
| Juarez U21 HT & FT | 35% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX U21 matches that day
- Atl. San Luis U21 vs Atlas U21 · 30 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga MX U21
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 4–1 - Puebla U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 · 30 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga MX U21
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–1