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Liga 1 · Indonesia
PSM Makassar vs Persepam Madura Utd prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PSM Makassar host Persepam Madura Utd in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 31 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is PSM Makassar Over 0.5 Goals — PSM Makassar Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, PSM Makassar had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Persepam Madura Utd had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of PSM Makassar's last 10 and 6 of Persepam Madura Utd's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PSM Makassar averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Persepam Madura Utd averaged 1.29 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from PSM Makassar and 1.53 from Persepam Madura Utd. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 36%, against 46%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PSM Makassar (green) and Persepam Madura Utd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | DWWLD | 1.00 | 1.90 | 50% | 70% |
| Persepam Madura Utd | LWDLW | 1.60 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Persepam Madura Utd 2–0 PSM Makassar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 58% | 1.61 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 47% | 1.98 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 1 matches that day
- Dewa United vs Persija · 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Arema FC vs Bali United · 31 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Persik Kediri vs Persita · 31 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73