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Liga 1 · Indonesia
Arema FC vs Bali United prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arema FC host Bali United in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 31 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Arema FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 18. Bali United had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Arema FC's last 10 and 7 of Bali United's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arema FC averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bali United averaged 1.00 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.33 goals from Arema FC and 2.14 from Bali United. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 36%, against 27%, 24% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arema FC (green) and Bali United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | WLLDD | 1.90 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
| Bali United | DWLWL | 2.70 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Bali United Win | 50% | 1.85 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 50% | 1.87 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 1 matches that day
- Dewa United vs Persija · 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - PSM Makassar vs Persepam Madura Utd · 31 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: PSM Makassar Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Persik Kediri vs Persita · 31 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73