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Liga 1 · Indonesia
PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PSIM Yogyakarta host PSM Makassar in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 16 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.66, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PSIM Yogyakarta 1–2 PSM Makassar.
Going into the match, PSIM Yogyakarta had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 15. PSM Makassar had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of PSIM Yogyakarta's last 10 and 6 of PSM Makassar's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PSIM Yogyakarta averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home PSM Makassar averaged 0.50 scored and 2.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from PSIM Yogyakarta and 1.09 from PSM Makassar. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 33%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PSIM Yogyakarta (green) and PSM Makassar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSIM Yogyakarta | LLLDL | 0.80 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
| PSM Makassar | LDDLL | 1.20 | 2.20 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Apr 2026 · PSIM Yogyakarta 1–2 PSM Makassar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
| PSIM Yogyakarta Win | 42% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 1 matches that day
- Java United vs Bali United · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 3–2 - Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 3–3 - Persijap vs Isenmulang Kalteng · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–1