Home › League stats › Liga 1 › Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC
Liga 1 · Indonesia
Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Persepam Madura Utd host Bhayangkara FC in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Persepam Madura Utd 3–3 Bhayangkara FC.
Going into the match, Persepam Madura Utd had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Bhayangkara FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Persepam Madura Utd's last 10 and 8 of Bhayangkara FC's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Persepam Madura Utd averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Bhayangkara FC averaged 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Persepam Madura Utd and 1.40 from Bhayangkara FC. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 25%, against 33%, 27% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Persepam Madura Utd (green) and Bhayangkara FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepam Madura Utd | LWWWW | 1.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Bhayangkara FC | DWDDW | 2.20 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 May 2026 · Bhayangkara FC 3–1 Persepam Madura Utd
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Bhayangkara FC Win | 39% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 1 matches that day
- Java United vs Bali United · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 3–2 - Persijap vs Isenmulang Kalteng · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–1 - PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar · 16 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 · FT 1–2