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Persha Liga · Ukraine
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Probiy Horodenka host Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga (Ukraine) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Probiy Horodenka had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 24. Nyva Ternopil had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Probiy Horodenka's last 10 and 5 of Nyva Ternopil's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Probiy Horodenka averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Nyva Ternopil averaged 0.86 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Probiy Horodenka and 1.46 from Nyva Ternopil. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 46%, against 33%, 28% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probiy Horodenka | LDWWL | 0.90 | 2.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Nyva Ternopil | WDWDD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.