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Primera División · Venezuela
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Portuguesa FC host Deportivo La Guaira in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 10 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Portuguesa FC 0–0 Deportivo La Guaira.
Going into the match, Portuguesa FC had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Deportivo La Guaira had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Portuguesa FC's last 10 and 7 of Deportivo La Guaira's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Portuguesa FC averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Deportivo La Guaira averaged 1.54 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Portuguesa FC and 1.09 from Deportivo La Guaira. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Portuguesa FC (green) and Deportivo La Guaira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa FC | LWDDD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
| Deportivo La Guaira | LLLWD | 1.90 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Portuguesa FC 0–2 Deportivo La Guaira
- 9 May 2026 · Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Portuguesa FC
- 21 Apr 2026 · Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 Portuguesa FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.