Home › League stats › FAW Championship › Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC
FAW Championship · Wales
Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Porthmadog host Bangor City 1876 FC in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Porthmadog 1–0 Bangor City 1876 FC.
Going into the match, Porthmadog had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Bangor City 1876 FC had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 23 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Porthmadog's last 9 and 8 of Bangor City 1876 FC's last 9; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Porthmadog averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Bangor City 1876 FC averaged 2.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Porthmadog and 1.40 from Bangor City 1876 FC. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 38%, against 40%, 23% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Porthmadog (green) and Bangor City 1876 FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | WWLDL | 1.78 | 1.22 | 67% | 67% |
| Bangor City 1876 FC | LWDLW | 2.56 | 1.89 | 89% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Double Chance 1X | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Porthmadog Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Porthmadog HT & FT | 26% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.