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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Portadown vs Linfield prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Portadown host Linfield in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Portadown had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Linfield had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Portadown's last 10 and 4 of Linfield's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Portadown averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Linfield averaged 2.11 scored and 0.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.74 goals from Portadown and 1.70 from Linfield. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 59%, against 16%, 22% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Portadown (green) and Linfield (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Sep 2026 · Portadown 1–1 Linfield
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Linfield Win | 64% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.