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I Liga · Poland
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pogoń Siedlce host Puszcza Niepołomice in the I Liga (Poland) on 15 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pogoń Siedlce 1–3 Puszcza Niepołomice.
Going into the match, Pogoń Siedlce had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Puszcza Niepołomice had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Pogoń Siedlce's last 10 and 4 of Puszcza Niepołomice's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pogoń Siedlce averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Puszcza Niepołomice averaged 1.07 scored and 2.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Pogoń Siedlce and 1.26 from Puszcza Niepołomice. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 37%, against 36%, 29% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pogoń Siedlce (green) and Puszcza Niepołomice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Siedlce | LWDDW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | LLLLW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.