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II Liga - East · Poland
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Podhale Nowy Targ host Lechia Zielona Góra in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Podhale Nowy Targ 0–0 Lechia Zielona Góra.
Going into the match, Podhale Nowy Targ had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 20. Lechia Zielona Góra had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Podhale Nowy Targ's last 10 and 7 of Lechia Zielona Góra's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Podhale Nowy Targ averaged 2.46 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Lechia Zielona Góra averaged 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Podhale Nowy Targ and 1.27 from Lechia Zielona Góra. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 23%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Podhale Nowy Targ (green) and Lechia Zielona Góra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | DWLWW | 2.20 | 2.00 | 80% | 90% |
| Lechia Zielona Góra | LWLWL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Podhale Nowy Targ form and statistics
- Lechia Zielona Góra form and statistics
- II Liga - East statistics
Other II Liga - East matches that day
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz · 18 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 1–0 - Resovia Rzeszów vs Sokół Kleczew · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Śląsk Wrocław II vs Avia Świdnik · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–2