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Second League - Group 1 · Russia

Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.95Market probability 48%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Pobeda host Nart Cherkessk in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Nart Cherkessk to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.95, which the bookmaker market rated at about 48% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Pobeda had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Nart Cherkessk had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Pobeda's last 10 and 5 of Nart Cherkessk's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pobeda averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Nart Cherkessk averaged 1.54 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Pobeda and 1.23 from Nart Cherkessk. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 25%, against 52%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Pobeda (green) and Nart Cherkessk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence36% – 64%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals25% – 75%
Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
PobedaLWLWW1.601.7050%70%
Nart CherkesskLWWDW1.401.3050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match

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