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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Lugansk vs Rubin Yalta prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lugansk host Rubin Yalta in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Rubin Yalta to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Lugansk had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Rubin Yalta had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Lugansk's last 10 and 6 of Rubin Yalta's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lugansk averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Rubin Yalta averaged 0.85 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Lugansk and 1.43 from Rubin Yalta. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 35%. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lugansk (green) and Rubin Yalta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugansk | LLLWW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 70% |
| Rubin Yalta | WLWWL | 1.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Rubin Yalta 3–0 Lugansk
Other Second League - Group 1 matches that day
- Rostov II vs Kyzyltash · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.42 - FK Chayka 2 vs Sevastopol · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Izberbash vs Spartak Nalchik · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Astrakhan vs Druzhba · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.34