Plaza Colonia vs CA River Plate prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.44Market probability 64%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Plaza Colonia host CA River Plate in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Plaza Colonia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Plaza Colonia 2–1 CA River Plate.

Going into the match, Plaza Colonia had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. CA River Plate had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Plaza Colonia's last 10 and 5 of CA River Plate's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Plaza Colonia averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home CA River Plate averaged 1.13 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Plaza Colonia and 1.11 from CA River Plate. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 32%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Plaza Colonia (green) and CA River Plate (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%

Attack36% – 64%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Plaza Colonia	DLLWD	0.80	1.10	50%	30%
CA River Plate	DWLWD	1.30	1.20	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

11 Jul 2026 · CA River Plate 3–2 Plaza Colonia