Miramar vs Cerrito prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.28Market probability 70%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Miramar host Cerrito in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Miramar 1–0 Cerrito.

Going into the match, Miramar had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Cerrito had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Miramar's last 10 and 7 of Cerrito's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Miramar averaged 0.79 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Cerrito averaged 1.33 scored and 1.47 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Miramar and 1.01 from Cerrito. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 30%, against 34%, 29% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Miramar (green) and Cerrito (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals61% – 39%

Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Miramar	LDWWW	1.40	1.00	60%	40%
Cerrito	WDWLW	1.50	1.20	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

12 Jul 2026 · Cerrito 1–0 Miramar

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	70%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.34
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.43
Over 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67
Under 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
BTTS Yes	51%	1.78
Over 2.5 Goals	45%	2.10
Cerrito Win	38%	2.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.