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Ykkösliiga · Finland
PK-35 vs SJK Akatemia prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PK-35 host SJK Akatemia in the Ykkösliiga (Finland) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PK-35 3–2 SJK Akatemia.
Going into the match, PK-35 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. SJK Akatemia had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of PK-35's last 10 and 7 of SJK Akatemia's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PK-35 averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home SJK Akatemia averaged 0.93 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from PK-35 and 0.75 from SJK Akatemia. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 10%, against 75%, 16% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PK-35 (green) and SJK Akatemia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK-35 | LDLWD | 1.50 | 1.20 | 30% | 70% |
| SJK Akatemia | WDLDL | 1.40 | 2.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · SJK Akatemia 0–3 PK-35
- 19 Apr 2026 · SJK Akatemia 0–1 PK-35
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PK-35 Win | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| PK-35 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| PK-35 HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ykkösliiga matches that day
- EIF vs KäPa · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ykkösliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - JIPPO vs Haka · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ykkösliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1 - Kooteepee vs Klubi-04 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ykkösliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - MP vs JäPS · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ykkösliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–2