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Ykkösliiga · Finland
MP vs JäPS prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
MP host JäPS in the Ykkösliiga (Finland) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: MP 1–2 JäPS.
Going into the match, MP had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. JäPS had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of MP's last 10 and 3 of JäPS's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home MP averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home JäPS averaged 1.73 scored and 1.87 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from MP and 1.19 from JäPS. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 30%, against 47%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between MP (green) and JäPS (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Aug 2026 · JäPS 1–0 MP
- 22 May 2026 · JäPS 0–2 MP
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| MP Win | 48% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ykkösliiga matches that day
- EIF vs KäPa · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ykkösliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - JIPPO vs Haka · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ykkösliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1 - Kooteepee vs Klubi-04 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ykkösliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - PK-35 vs SJK Akatemia · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ykkösliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44