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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Piteå vs Sollentuna prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Piteå host Sollentuna in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Piteå 1–1 Sollentuna.
Going into the match, Piteå had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Sollentuna had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Piteå's last 10 and 6 of Sollentuna's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Piteå averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Sollentuna averaged 1.21 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Piteå and 1.37 from Sollentuna. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 38%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Piteå (green) and Sollentuna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piteå | DDWWL | 1.60 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Sollentuna | WLLDL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Sollentuna 2–2 Piteå
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 55% | 1.68 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ettan - Norra matches that day
- Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Norra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Umeå FC vs Assyriska FF · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ettan - Norra
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Vasalund vs AFC Eskilstuna · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Norra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 0–4