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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hammarby Talang host IF Karlstad in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hammarby Talang 2–1 IF Karlstad.
Going into the match, Hammarby Talang had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. IF Karlstad had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hammarby Talang's last 10 and 7 of IF Karlstad's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hammarby Talang averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home IF Karlstad averaged 1.71 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Hammarby Talang and 1.00 from IF Karlstad. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hammarby Talang (green) and IF Karlstad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby Talang | LLWLD | 0.70 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| IF Karlstad | WDDDD | 1.20 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · IF Karlstad 0–2 Hammarby Talang
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ettan - Norra matches that day
- Piteå vs Sollentuna · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ettan - Norra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Umeå FC vs Assyriska FF · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ettan - Norra
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Vasalund vs AFC Eskilstuna · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Norra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 0–4