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Serie D - Girone D · Italy

Pistoiese vs Pavia prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Pistoiese WinNo priceFinal score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Pistoiese host Pavia in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Pistoiese Win — Pistoiese to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Pistoiese 1–0 Pavia.

Going into the match, Pistoiese had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 3. Pavia had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Pistoiese's last 10 and 5 of Pavia's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pistoiese averaged 2.43 goals scored and 0.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Pavia averaged 0.67 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from Pistoiese and 0.28 from Pavia. From that it rates a home win at 81%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 3%. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Pistoiese (green) and Pavia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form79% – 21%
Attack76% – 24%
Defence100% – 0%
Overall strength77% – 22%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
PistoieseWLWWW1.900.3020%40%
PaviaDLLDD0.701.8050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

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