Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Philadelphia Union host Charlotte in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte.

Going into the match, Philadelphia Union had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 31 and conceding 11. Charlotte had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Philadelphia Union's last 10 and 7 of Charlotte's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Philadelphia Union averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Charlotte averaged 1.75 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.25 goals from Philadelphia Union and 1.45 from Charlotte. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 24%, against 63%, 19% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Philadelphia Union (green) and Charlotte (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form68% – 32%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence59% – 41%

Head-to-head40% – 60%

Goals36% – 64%

Overall strength55% – 44%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Philadelphia Union	WWWWW	3.10	1.10	70%	80%
Charlotte	LWLWD	1.90	1.50	70%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	77%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	72%	1.30
BTTS Yes	65%	1.44
Philadelphia Union Win	63%	1.50
Over 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	51%	1.80
Philadelphia Union HT & FT	44%	2.20
2-1	11%	9.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.