Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Minnesota United FC host St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City.

Going into the match, Minnesota United FC had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 27. St. Louis City had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 10 of Minnesota United FC's last 10 and 7 of St. Louis City's last 10; 10 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Minnesota United FC averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home St. Louis City averaged 1.85 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Minnesota United FC and 2.57 from St. Louis City. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 58%, against 38%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Minnesota United FC (green) and St. Louis City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form13% – 87%

Attack36% – 64%

Defence26% – 74%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals59% – 41%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Minnesota United FC	DDLLL	2.30	2.70	100%	100%
St. Louis City	DWWWW	2.90	1.20	70%	90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

13 Sep 2026 · St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	75%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	74%	1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No	72%	1.30
BTTS Yes	66%	1.44
Over 2.5 Goals	64%	1.48
Under 3.5 Goals	56%	1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Over 10.5 Corners	50%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.