Persija vs Arema FC prediction and preview

21 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Persija WinOdds 1.40Market probability 68%Final score 5–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Persija host Arema FC in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 21 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Persija Win — Persija to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Persija 5–1 Arema FC.

Going into the match, Persija had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Arema FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Persija's last 10 and 6 of Arema FC's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Persija averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Arema FC averaged 1.50 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 3.57 goals from Persija and 1.11 from Arema FC. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 7%, against 64%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Persija (green) and Arema FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%

Attack48% – 52%

Defence69% – 31%

Head-to-head67% – 33%

Goals56% – 44%

Overall strength64% – 36%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Persija	LWWWW	2.00	1.10	60%	70%
Arema FC	LDDDW	1.60	1.50	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

6 Aug 2026 · Persija 3–1 Arema FC

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Persija Win	68%	1.40
Over 2.5 Goals	61%	1.53
Over 9.5 Corners	59%	1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	58%	1.62
BTTS Yes	52%	1.74
Persija HT & FT	45%	2.05
Under 2.5 Goals	39%	2.38
2-0	12%	8.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.