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Liga 1 · Indonesia
Bali United vs Garudayaksa prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bali United host Garudayaksa in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 21 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bali United 5–0 Garudayaksa.
Going into the match, Bali United had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 16. Garudayaksa had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bali United's last 10 and 7 of Garudayaksa's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bali United averaged 3.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Garudayaksa averaged 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.15 goals from Bali United and 1.03 from Garudayaksa. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 8%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bali United (green) and Garudayaksa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bali United | LWLWW | 2.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| Garudayaksa | WLDLD | 1.70 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| Bali United Win | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.61 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Bali United HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 1 matches that day
- Persija vs Arema FC · 21 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga 1
Published pick: Persija Win @ 1.40 · FT 5–1