Persepam Madura Utd vs Persib Bandung prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.85Market probability 50%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Persepam Madura Utd host Persib Bandung in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Persepam Madura Utd 1–0 Persib Bandung.

Going into the match, Persepam Madura Utd had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Persib Bandung had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Persepam Madura Utd's last 10 and 6 of Persib Bandung's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Persepam Madura Utd averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Persib Bandung averaged 2.10 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Persepam Madura Utd and 1.31 from Persib Bandung. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 42%, against 23%, 25% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Persepam Madura Utd (green) and Persib Bandung (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence46% – 54%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals22% – 78%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Persepam Madura Utd	DLWWW	1.70	1.20	50%	50%
Persib Bandung	WWDWW	1.80	0.90	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	74%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	69%	1.37
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	67%	1.42
Over 9.5 Corners	55%	1.70
Persib Bandung Win	53%	1.70
BTTS Yes	52%	1.76
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	1.85
Persib Bandung HT & FT	34%	2.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.