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Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Pavia vs Sant'Angelo prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pavia host Sant'Angelo in the Coppa Italia Serie D (Italy) on 7 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Pavia to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Pavia 1–3 Sant'Angelo.
Going into the match, Pavia had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 15. Sant'Angelo had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Pavia's last 10 and 7 of Sant'Angelo's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pavia averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Sant'Angelo averaged 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Pavia and 1.67 from Sant'Angelo. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 52%. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pavia (green) and Sant'Angelo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavia | LDDDD | 0.80 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Sant'Angelo | LLDWD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Sep 2026 · Sant'Angelo 0–0 Pavia