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Ligue 2 · France
PAU vs Grenoble prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PAU host Grenoble in the Ligue 2 (France) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, PAU had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Grenoble had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of PAU's last 10 and 3 of Grenoble's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PAU averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Grenoble averaged 1.09 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from PAU and 0.89 from Grenoble. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 25%, against 52%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PAU (green) and Grenoble (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| PAU Win | 51% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 2 matches that day
- Clermont Foot vs Guingamp · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Dunkerque vs Metz · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Nancy vs Laval · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Nancy Win @ 1.57 - Sochaux vs Annecy · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36