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Thai League 1 · Thailand
Pattani vs Buriram United prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pattani host Buriram United in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pattani 0–1 Buriram United.
Going into the match, Pattani had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Buriram United had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Pattani's last 10 and 5 of Buriram United's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pattani averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Buriram United averaged 1.78 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Pattani and 1.74 from Buriram United. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 59%, against 11%, 18% and 71% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pattani (green) and Buriram United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pattani | LLWDW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 80% |
| Buriram United | LWDWD | 1.40 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Buriram United Win | 71% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Buriram United 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Buriram United HT & FT | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Thai League 1 matches that day
- Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Thai League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 1–2 - Bangkok United vs Port FC · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33