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Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chiangrai United host Ratchaburi in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chiangrai United 1–2 Ratchaburi.
Going into the match, Chiangrai United had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Ratchaburi had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Chiangrai United's last 9 and 5 of Ratchaburi's last 10; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chiangrai United averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Ratchaburi averaged 1.38 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Chiangrai United and 1.33 from Ratchaburi. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 32%, 27% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chiangrai United (green) and Ratchaburi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangrai United | LLDWW | 0.89 | 0.56 | 33% | 11% |
| Ratchaburi | LWDDL | 2.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Chiangrai United 1–0 Ratchaburi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Thai League 1 matches that day
- Pattani vs Buriram United · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Thai League 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–1 - Bangkok United vs Port FC · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33