Parma vs Torino prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 0–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Parma host Torino in the Serie A (Italy) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Parma 0–3 Torino.

Going into the match, Parma had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Torino had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Parma's last 10 and 6 of Torino's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Parma averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Torino averaged 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.62 goals from Parma and 1.12 from Torino. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 47%, against 29%, 31% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Parma (green) and Torino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%

Attack40% – 60%

Defence44% – 56%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals38% – 62%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Parma	LWLDL	0.70	1.50	40%	30%
Torino	WDLWL	1.00	1.10	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Double Chance X2	71%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Under 2.5 Goals	60%	1.57
BTTS No	53%	1.75
Over 8.5 Corners	50%	1.83
Torino Win	40%	2.35

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.