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1st Division · Albania
Oriku vs Flamurtari prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Oriku host Flamurtari in the 1st Division (Albania) on 16 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Flamurtari Win — Flamurtari to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Oriku 1–4 Flamurtari.
Going into the match, Oriku had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 6 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 13. Flamurtari had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Oriku's last 6 and 6 of Flamurtari's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oriku averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Flamurtari averaged 1.50 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.57 goals from Oriku and 2.50 from Flamurtari. From that it rates a home win at 6%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 79%, against 11%, 20% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Oriku (green) and Flamurtari (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriku | LLLLL | 0.33 | 2.17 | 33% | 50% |
| Flamurtari | WWDLD | 1.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamurtari Win | 69% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Flamurtari HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| 0-1 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1st Division matches that day
- FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë · 16 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.22 · FT 2–0