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1st Division · Albania
FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Kukesi host Besa Kavajë in the 1st Division (Albania) on 16 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Besa Kavajë to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FK Kukesi 2–0 Besa Kavajë.
Going into the match, FK Kukesi had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 22. Besa Kavajë had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FK Kukesi's last 10 and 6 of Besa Kavajë's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Kukesi averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Besa Kavajë averaged 1.88 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from FK Kukesi and 1.98 from Besa Kavajë. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 55%, against 24%, 27% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Kukesi (green) and Besa Kavajë (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Kukesi | LWLWL | 1.40 | 2.20 | 50% | 80% |
| Besa Kavajë | WWLWW | 2.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Aug 2026 · FK Kukesi 1–4 Besa Kavajë
- 3 May 2026 · FK Kukesi 2–1 Besa Kavajë
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Besa Kavajë Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Besa Kavajë HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1st Division matches that day
- Oriku vs Flamurtari · 16 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Flamurtari Win @ 1.30 · FT 1–4