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FNL · Czech Republic
Opava vs Baník Ostrava II prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Opava host Baník Ostrava II in the FNL (Czech Republic) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Opava had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 20. Baník Ostrava II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Opava's last 10 and 7 of Baník Ostrava II's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Opava averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.47 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Baník Ostrava II averaged 2.50 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Opava and 1.73 from Baník Ostrava II. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 54%, against 43%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Opava (green) and Baník Ostrava II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opava | LWDWD | 1.60 | 2.00 | 90% | 80% |
| Baník Ostrava II | WLLWD | 1.70 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Apr 2026 · Baník Ostrava II 2–0 Opava
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FNL matches that day
- Dukla Praha vs Kladno · 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Vysočina Jihlava vs Vlašim · 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Táborsko vs Třinec · 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná · 23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44