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First NL · Croatia
Opatija vs Kustosija prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Opatija host Kustosija in the First NL (Croatia) on 9 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Opatija 1–1 Kustosija.
Going into the match, Opatija had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Kustosija had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Opatija's last 10 and 5 of Kustosija's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Opatija averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Kustosija averaged 1.10 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Opatija and 1.02 from Kustosija. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 34%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Opatija (green) and Kustosija (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Opatija Win | 42% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.