Home › League stats › 1. Division › Omonia Aradippou vs AEL
1. Division · Cyprus
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Omonia Aradippou host AEL in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Omonia Aradippou 0–2 AEL.
Going into the match, Omonia Aradippou had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. AEL had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Omonia Aradippou's last 10 and 6 of AEL's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Omonia Aradippou averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home AEL averaged 1.57 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Omonia Aradippou and 1.16 from AEL. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 38%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Omonia Aradippou (green) and AEL (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | LDDWD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
| AEL | WWWLW | 1.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Division matches that day
- Aris vs AEK Larnaca · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Omonia 29is Maiou vs Anorthosis · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25