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Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven vs Lommel United prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
OH Leuven host Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, OH Leuven had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Lommel United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of OH Leuven's last 10 and 3 of Lommel United's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home OH Leuven averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Lommel United averaged 1.54 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from OH Leuven and 1.28 from Lommel United. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 28%, against 48%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between OH Leuven (green) and Lommel United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | WDWDL | 1.00 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Lommel United | LWWDL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Jul 2026 · OH Leuven 5–1 Lommel United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Jupiler Pro League matches that day
- RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem · 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren · 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Antwerp vs Charleroi · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44