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Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Antwerp host Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Antwerp had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 22. Charleroi had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Antwerp's last 10 and 5 of Charleroi's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Antwerp averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Charleroi averaged 1.36 scored and 0.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Antwerp and 1.45 from Charleroi. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 47%, against 23%, 25% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Antwerp (green) and Charleroi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Antwerp 0–1 Charleroi
- 10 Apr 2026 · Charleroi 2–1 Antwerp
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Charleroi Win | 52% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Jupiler Pro League matches that day
- RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem · 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren · 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - OH Leuven vs Lommel United · 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Jupiler Pro League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50