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2. Division · Denmark
Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nykobing FC host VSK Århus in the 2. Division (Denmark) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nykobing FC 3–1 VSK Århus.
Going into the match, Nykobing FC had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 12. VSK Århus had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Nykobing FC's last 10 and 4 of VSK Århus's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nykobing FC averaged 2.92 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home VSK Århus averaged 1.29 scored and 0.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Nykobing FC and 0.88 from VSK Århus. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 53%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nykobing FC (green) and VSK Århus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nykobing FC | DDWWD | 2.50 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
| VSK Århus | LWDDL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.