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USL League One · USA
NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
NY Cosmos host Spokane Velocity in the USL League One (USA) on 21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.49, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: NY Cosmos 3–3 Spokane Velocity.
Going into the match, NY Cosmos had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 22. Spokane Velocity had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of NY Cosmos's last 10 and 6 of Spokane Velocity's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NY Cosmos averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Spokane Velocity averaged 1.29 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from NY Cosmos and 1.88 from Spokane Velocity. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 30%, 25% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between NY Cosmos (green) and Spokane Velocity (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Cosmos | LLLWL | 1.50 | 2.20 | 80% | 90% |
| Spokane Velocity | WLWDW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Spokane Velocity Win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other USL League One matches that day
- Sarasota Paradise vs Naples · 21 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 2–3