Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.36Market probability 72%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Novi Pazar host IMT Novi Beograd in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Novi Pazar 1–2 IMT Novi Beograd.

Going into the match, Novi Pazar had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. IMT Novi Beograd had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Novi Pazar's last 10 and 4 of IMT Novi Beograd's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Novi Pazar averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home IMT Novi Beograd averaged 0.92 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.64 goals from Novi Pazar and 0.78 from IMT Novi Beograd. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 34%, against 38%, 29% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Novi Pazar (green) and IMT Novi Beograd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%

Attack55% – 45%

Defence38% – 63%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Novi Pazar	LDDWD	0.90	1.20	40%	20%
IMT Novi Beograd	WDLDW	0.80	1.00	40%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.36
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	70%	1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.40
BTTS Yes	54%	1.83
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.