FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS NoOdds 1.44Market probability 64%Final score 5–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FK Crvena Zvezda host Mladost Lucani in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1 Mladost Lucani.

Going into the match, FK Crvena Zvezda had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Mladost Lucani had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of FK Crvena Zvezda's last 10 and 3 of Mladost Lucani's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Crvena Zvezda averaged 2.59 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Mladost Lucani averaged 1.10 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.54 goals from FK Crvena Zvezda and 0.61 from Mladost Lucani. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 6%, against 87%, 9% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FK Crvena Zvezda (green) and Mladost Lucani (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form65% – 35%

Attack75% – 25%

Defence89% – 11%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals79% – 21%

Overall strength82% – 17%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
FK Crvena Zvezda	LWWWW	2.00	0.90	40%	70%
Mladost Lucani	DWLWL	0.90	1.10	30%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
FK Crvena Zvezda HT & FT	70%	1.36
FK Crvena Zvezda 1st Half Win	69%	1.30
BTTS No	64%	1.44
Under 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	50%	1.83
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	50%	1.83
3-0	16%	6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.