Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Elva WinOdds 1.50Market probability 61%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Nõmme Kalju II host Elva in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Elva Win — Elva to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Nõmme Kalju II 0–0 Elva.

Going into the match, Nõmme Kalju II had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 25. Elva had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Nõmme Kalju II's last 10 and 3 of Elva's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nõmme Kalju II averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Elva averaged 2.00 scored and 1.63 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Nõmme Kalju II and 1.90 from Elva. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 62%, against 19%, 20% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Nõmme Kalju II (green) and Elva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form0% – 100%

Attack43% – 57%

Defence46% – 54%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals57% – 43%

Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Nõmme Kalju II	LLLLL	0.70	2.50	30%	60%
Elva	LWDWL	0.90	1.40	30%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

6 Sep 2026 · Elva 1–0 Nõmme Kalju II
5 Jul 2026 · Nõmme Kalju II 2–2 Elva
2 May 2026 · Elva 2–4 Nõmme Kalju II

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Elva Win	61%	1.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.