Home › League stats › HNL › NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo
HNL · Croatia
NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
NK Varazdin host NK Slaven Belupo in the HNL (Croatia) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, NK Varazdin had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. NK Slaven Belupo had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of NK Varazdin's last 10 and 5 of NK Slaven Belupo's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NK Varazdin averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home NK Slaven Belupo averaged 1.08 scored and 2.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.26 goals from NK Varazdin and 0.76 from NK Slaven Belupo. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 10%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between NK Varazdin (green) and NK Slaven Belupo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin | LWDDW | 1.60 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
| NK Slaven Belupo | LWLDL | 1.70 | 1.80 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 NK Varazdin
- 12 Apr 2026 · NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| NK Varazdin Win | 56% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other HNL matches that day
- HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · HNL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73