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HNL · Croatia
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
HNK Gorica host NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the HNL (Croatia) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, HNK Gorica had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of HNK Gorica's last 10 and 5 of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home HNK Gorica averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 15 matches; away from home NK Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 1.09 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from HNK Gorica and 1.05 from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 35%, against 40%, 28% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between HNK Gorica (green) and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | DLDDW | 1.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 30% |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | WLLDW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica
- 17 Apr 2026 · HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other HNL matches that day
- NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · HNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50