NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.57Market probability 59%Final score 1–5

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

NK Slaven Belupo host Dinamo Zagreb in the HNL (Croatia) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: NK Slaven Belupo 1–5 Dinamo Zagreb.

Going into the match, NK Slaven Belupo had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Dinamo Zagreb had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of NK Slaven Belupo's last 10 and 5 of Dinamo Zagreb's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NK Slaven Belupo averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Dinamo Zagreb averaged 2.94 scored and 1.19 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from NK Slaven Belupo and 2.37 from Dinamo Zagreb. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 60%, against 14%, 20% and 66% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between NK Slaven Belupo (green) and Dinamo Zagreb (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack47% – 53%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals24% – 76%

Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
NK Slaven Belupo	WLDLW	1.70	1.70	50%	80%
Dinamo Zagreb	WLWWD	1.90	1.30	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

31 Jul 2026 · Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo
17 May 2026 · NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 Dinamo Zagreb

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	77%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
Dinamo Zagreb Win	68%	1.36
BTTS Yes	59%	1.57
Under 3.5 Goals	53%	1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	51%	1.80
Over 9.5 Corners	50%	1.83
Dinamo Zagreb HT & FT	49%	1.91

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.