HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.73Market probability 55%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

HNK Hajduk Split host NK Varazdin in the HNL (Croatia) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin.

Going into the match, HNK Hajduk Split had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. NK Varazdin had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of HNK Hajduk Split's last 10 and 4 of NK Varazdin's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home HNK Hajduk Split averaged 2.36 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home NK Varazdin averaged 1.77 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from HNK Hajduk Split and 0.83 from NK Varazdin. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 22%, against 52%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between HNK Hajduk Split (green) and NK Varazdin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%

Attack64% – 36%

Defence33% – 67%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals46% – 54%

Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
HNK Hajduk Split	WWLWW	2.10	0.90	40%	70%
NK Varazdin	WDDWD	1.80	0.70	40%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

2 Aug 2026 · NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split
3 May 2026 · HNK Hajduk Split 3–1 NK Varazdin

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	55%	1.73
Over 2.5 Goals	52%	1.80
HNK Hajduk Split Win	51%	1.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.