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I Liga · Poland
Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nieciecza host Puszcza Niepołomice in the I Liga (Poland) on 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nieciecza 2–0 Puszcza Niepołomice.
Going into the match, Nieciecza had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Puszcza Niepołomice had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Nieciecza's last 10 and 5 of Puszcza Niepołomice's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nieciecza averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Puszcza Niepołomice averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Nieciecza and 1.02 from Puszcza Niepołomice. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 16%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nieciecza (green) and Puszcza Niepołomice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieciecza | DWWWW | 2.00 | 1.60 | 90% | 90% |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | WLLLL | 1.60 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Jul 2026 · Puszcza Niepołomice 0–3 Nieciecza
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.